The case-themes in Work Package 2

ToPDAd aims to provide a set of best-practice climate-change-strategies for regional stakeholders and decision makers in the sectors Energy, Tourism and Transport. These strategies are developed and supported by a state-of-the-art toolset of methodologies and models. To acquire a database on which these methodologies can be applied and from which strategic conclusions can be derived, different sector-specific as well as cross-sectorial case themes are studied in Work Package 2. In Deliverable 2.3 these case themes are defined, including the specification of each case theme scenario.


In Work Package 2, seven case themes are developed and analysed. They build the foundation for the future analysis of options for adaptation to climate change in the ToPDAd project. The case-themes represent different sector-specific, as well as cross-sectoral scenarios, which reproduce the socioeconomic situations in specific areas or regions or more generally in Europe considering (projected) climate change. The findings of the seven case-themes will contribute to the database and the scenario base, from and on which adaptation strategies to climate change will be derived and developed in ToPDAd. 


Case-Theme 1

Decreasing Snow Reliability: Effects of decreasing reliability of winter snow cover that are either common to or different between Alpine and Nordic ski tourist areas.

Sector: Tourism

Leading research partner (contact): Joanneum Research (Dominik Kortschak)


Case-Theme 2

Rise of Average Summer Temperatures: The rise of average summer temperatures and long-term implications for summer-time tourism – spatial and seasonal redistributions.

Sector: Tourism

Leading research partner (contact):  Joanneum Research (Dominik Kortschak)


Case-Theme 3

Impact of Arctic Ice Melting: Retreat of Arctic sea-ice cover – implications for international logistics in Europe and beyond.

Sector: Transport

Leading research partner (contact): Transport & Mobility Leuven, Christophe Heyndrickx.


Case-Theme 4

Weather Extremes and Traffic: Larger intra- & inter-seasonal variations in weather, including extremes – higher frequencies of unfavourable conditions (e.g. heavy rain) and impact on transportation systems.

Sector: Transport

Leading research partner (contact): Transport & Mobility Leuven, Christophe Heyndrickx.


Case-Theme 5

Variations in Energy Production: Larger intra- & inter-seasonal variability in power generation based on runoff, solar insolation and winds –­ implications for hydro, solar and wind power generation as well as the second-order impacts in the rest of the power system.

Sector: Energy

Leading research partner (contact): VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, Juha Kiviluoma.


Case-Theme 6

Effects of Flooding on Energy on Transport and Tourism: Extreme weather events leading to flooding cause damage to a wide variety of infrastructure and production capacity in cities. Such damage can result in significant direct and indirect economic effects, which in turn can be reduced through allocation of resources to adaptation.

Sector: Cross-sectoral

Leading research partner (contact): Cambridge University 4CMR. Douglas Crawford-Brown.


Case-Theme 7

Effects of protracted Drought and Heatwave on Energy, Transport and Tourism:

Protracted drought has lowered water levels and raised temperatures in rivers France, Germany and Benelux thereby seriously limiting availability of cooling water. Despite maximum use of inter-regional transmission capacity, electricity supply has been curtailed in various regions, while demand has risen due to a heat wave. Longer-term changes in precipitation and temperature affect biomass production in Austria, curtailing availability of biomass for energy.

Sector: Cross-sectoral

Leading research partner (contact): Cambridge University 4CMR, Douglas Crawford-Brown.


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Logos of the participants of ToPDAd
Participants of ToPDAd: Teknologian Tutkimuskeskus VTT, The Chancellor Masters and Scholars of the University of Cambridge, CICERO Senter Klimaforskning Stiftelse, Stichting Dienst Landbouwkundig Onderzoek, Eidgenoessische Technische Hochschule Zürich, Gesellschaft für Wirtschaftlich Strukturforschung MBH, University of East Anglia, Transport & Mobility Lueven NV, Ilmatieteen Laitos, Joanneum Research Forschungsgesellschaft MBH
7th Framework Programme (FP7)